Secular Café: 2016 US Presidential Candidates?

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2016 US Presidential Candidates? Nov 23rd 2012, 18:23 Campaigning starting already? Marco Rubio headed to Iowa: Has 2016 already started? - CSMonitor.com (Nov 8, 2 days after Election Day) Quote: Marco Rubio headed to Iowa: Has 2016 already started? Senator Marco Rubio will be in Iowa next week – birthplace of many a presidential campaign. After Mitt Romney's dismal showing among Latino voters, the ambitious young Cuban-American is only growing in importance to the Republican Party. Daily Kos: Marco Rubio 2016: The Great Right Hope Markos noted Marco Rubio takes message to Iowa - Lois Romano - POLITICO.com Mainly Republican boilerplate, with a mention of "immigration reform" without any specifics. Is he hoping to get the Hispanic vote with that? From the last time around, I remember the most recent start was in 2009 or 2010, around 2 years before the recent election, so let's keep our eyes peeled for politicians who show an interest in running in 2016. Marco Rubio has started acting like he does, even if he has not officially declared himself to be in the race. Turning to Presidential offspring, which family seems likely to have a dynasty of Presidents? According to the US Constitution, one has to be at least 35 years old to become President. So let's see which ones will pass that threshold in 2016 or 2020. Chelsea Clinton, Feb 27, 1980 -- 2016 Jenna Bush, Barbara Bush II, Nov 25, 1981 -- 2016 George P. Bush, Apr 24, 1976 -- 2012 Noelle Bush, Jul 26, 1977 -- 2012 Jeb Bush II, Dec 13, 1983 -- 2020 Malia Obama, Jul 4, 1998 -- 2036 Sasha Obama, Jun 10, 2001 -- 2036 Chelsea Clinton vs. Jenna Bush in 2016? As to Jenna Bush, I don't know what she will do about this picture of her in action: http://skimble.blogspot.com/images/JennaBush.jpg Will she advertise it as evidence of what a forceful leader she will be? As to the Republicans changing their policies to get more votes, I think that they'd have to suffer more crushing defeats before they do that. Sort of like what had happened in the past - transitions between party systems were marked by crushing defeats in the House. There have been at least 5 party systems so far: #1: Federalist vs. Democratic-Republican Parties: 1796 - 1824 Federalist Party collapses, D-R splits in two #2: Democratic vs. National Republican, then Whig Parties: 1828 - 1854 Whig Party collapses, Republican Party emerges #3: Democratic vs. Republican Parties: 1854 - 1896 #4: Democratic vs. Republican Parties: 1896 - 1932 #5: Democratic vs. Republican Parties: 1932 - present It seems that we are in a transition toward a sixth party system, though so far it has been gradual. The Republicans had started out as a northern regional party, but over the last half-century or so, it has shifted its base to the former Confederacy, changing from being the party of Abraham Lincoln to being the party of Jefferson Davis.

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