Friday, 16 November 2012

Secular Café: Presidential Karma Map of States

Secular Café
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Presidential Karma Map of States
Nov 16th 2012, 09:03

Daily Kos: The State Presidential Karma Map
Daily Kos: The 2012 State Presidential Karma Map

Troubadour rates the states by which Presidential candidates they voted for, adding a karma score that he'd (she'd?) devised for each choice. He started off with a karma reset for the election of 1932, which he claimed was the first election since 1860 that involved a starkly moral choice. He then added up the karma scores for each election, though he could have put in a decay factor to indicate fading relevance of earlier results. Here are his scores:

Year Cand #1 # Cand #2 # Cand #3 #
1932 FDR (D) +10 Herbert Hoover (R) -5  
1936 FDR (D) +5 Alf Landon (R) -2  
1940 FDR (D) +2 Wendell Willkie (R) -1  
1944 FDR (D) +1 Thomas Dewey (R) -4  
1948 Harry Truman (D) +5 Thomas Dewey (R) -2 Strom Thurmond (X) -10
1952 Dwight Eisenhower (R) 0 Adlai Stevenson (D) 0  
1956 Dwight Eisenhower (R) 0 Adlai Stevenson (D) 0  
1960 JFK (D) +7 Richard Nixon (R) -3 Harry Byrd (X) -10
1964 LBJ (D) +2 Barry Goldwater (R) -10  
1968 Richard Nixon (R) -10 Hubert Humphrey (D) +7 George Wallace (X) -10
1972 Richard Nixon (R) -5 George McGovern (D) +5  
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) +2 Gerald Ford (R) -2  
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) -7 Jimmy Carter (D) +5  
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) -10 Walter Mondale (D) +1  
1988 George Bush I (R) -5 Michael Dukakis (D) +2  
1992 Bill Clinton (D) +5 George Bush I (R) -3  
1996 Bill Clinton (D) +3 Bob Dole (R) -5  
2000 George Bush II (R) -10 Al Gore (D) +8  
2004 George Bush II (R) -10 John Kerry (D) +10  
2008 Barack Obama (D) +10 John McCain (R) -10  
2012 Barack Obama (D) +10 Mitt Romney (R) -10  
The X's are Dixiecrats.

The highest-scoring state is Minnesota at 87, and the lowest-scoring one is Mississippi at -98.

It would be interesting to do this scoring for Congress and state governments, though that would take more work.

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